2020 NHL Draft: 10 Fallers from Fisher’s Top 217 for January


This month’s fallers include a Russian goaltender, several European forwards, a couple Nordic defencemen, and an enigmatic American. As per usual, I remain relatively high on most these fallers despite their stock trending down in the present.

RELATED: 10 Risers from Fisher’s Top 217 for January

1) Yaroslav Askarov (G, Russia, SKA-Neva St. Petersburg VHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 4

JANUARY RANKING: 9

VARIATION: -5

ANALYSIS: Askarov is still, by far, the best goaltending prospect for 2020 and still a good bet to go in the top 10. Any goalie projected for the top 10 is obviously a stud prospect and Askarov’s inconsistent showing at the World Juniors shouldn’t sour scouts on his elite upside. He has performed incredibly well in pressure situations at previous international tournaments — backstopping Russia to a handful of medals — so the scouting world is well aware of what Askarov is capable of. Most are already anticipating a bounce-back effort from him at next year’s World Juniors in Edmonton. Having drawn favourable comparisons to Carey Price and Andrei Vasilevskiy, Askarov won’t be falling far based on this blemish. However, he’s no longer in the conversation for first overall and probably won’t crack the top five.

Yaroslav Askarov Team Russia
Yaroslav Askarov representing Team Russia. (Russia Hockey/FHR.RU)

2) Zion Nybeck (RW, Sweden, HV71 J20)

DECEMBER RANKING: 18

JANUARY RANKING: 25

VARIATION: -7

ANALYSIS: Nybeck is enjoying a stellar season, torching the Swedish junior league and earning a call-up to the pro ranks. He is on the small side and that reality was a factor in this little fall, slipping behind some bigger forwards as well as some defencemen on the rise. But Nybeck is still a solid first-rounder for me — albeit just above my bubble tier from 26 to 48. I am a fan of Nybeck’s skill-set — he is fun to watch when he is on his game — but we’ll see how he fares as a pro and whether his strengths will translate against men. If he starts producing in the SHL, Nybeck will trend up again.

Zion Nybeck HV71
Zion Nybeck of HV71. (HV71)

3) Kasper Simontaival (RW, Finland, Tappara Liiga)

DECEMBER RANKING: 20

JANUARY RANKING: 34

VARIATION: -14

ANALYSIS: Simontaival has some similarities to Nybeck — they are about the same size and both are high-skill forwards — but Simontaival doesn’t skate as well and that tends to be a must for smaller prospects to be selected in the first round. As a result, Simontaival has slipped into my aforementioned bubble tier, but I still like his offensive upside and I believe it has become easier for NHL teams to improve skating in recent years through their development programs. Several prospects have overcome skating concerns from their draft year and Simontaival has offensive instincts that otherwise can’t be taught. I liken him to Aleksi Heponiemi, who was a second-rounder for Florida (40th overall).

Kasper Simontaival Tappara
Kasper Simontaival of Tappara. (Arno Hamalainen)

4) Antonio Stranges (LC/LW, USA, London OHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 24

JANUARY RANKING: 35

VARIATION: -11

ANALYSIS: Stranges is the enigmatic American, a stellar skater with elite puckhandling and deking ability. His shootout moves have been well documented. He also has a decent shot and finishing skills. He isn’t a bad playmaker either. Add it all up and Stranges should be a first-rounder. But that should also add up to more production for London — he should be producing more consistently and more in general. Stranges should be lighting up the OHL in his draft year, but that is hardly the case. He is below a point per game and often doesn’t show up on the scoresheet. Stranges is guilty of indifferent play at times and defensive lapses. That has spawned comparisons to former Knight Robbie Schremp and also to Josh Ho-Sang, which won’t help his draft stock. Stranges has a high ceiling, he could develop into an Anthony Duclair or Andreas Athanasiou type, but they were third- and fourth-round picks, respectively. Stranges will have to pick up the pace to get back into my first round. For the record, I’m still fond of this player and enjoy watching him when he isn’t invisible.

Antonio Stranges, London Knights, OHL
Antonio Stranges of the OHL’s London Knights. (Terry Wilson/OHL Iimages)

5) Oliver Suni (RW, Finland, Oshawa OHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 61

JANUARY RANKING: 76

VARIATION: -15

ANALYSIS: Suni got off to such a strong start in his North American debut but hasn’t been able to sustain that early success — at least not statistically. Suni still passes the eye test and has plenty of tools to be a successful pro, but he has been sliding down my rankings in recent months — now into the third round, though he is still in my second-round range at the bottom of a large tier from 49 to 76. I can’t imagine Suni falling much further, but he could certainly become a riser again.

Oliver Goodall Oshawa Generals
Oliver Suni of the OHL’s Oshawa Generals. (Ian Goodall/Goodall Media Inc)

6) Michal Gut (LC, Czech Republic, Everett WHL)

Michal Gut Everett Silvertips
Michal Gut of the Everett Silvertips (62) celebrates a goal with former teammate Max Patterson (12). (Chris Mast/Everett Silvertips)

DECEMBER RANKING: 64

JANUARY RANKING: 83

VARIATION: -19

ANALYSIS: I quite like Gut’s game — he plays bigger than he is and has a nose for the net in addition to nice skill and a strong two-way presence — but I was probably too high on him from the outset and thus he is falling in my rankings through no real fault of his own. Gut is having a decent season as a first-year import for Everett after impressing at the Hlinka summer tournament. He was also invited to audition for the World Juniors and might have made the Czech roster but missed that opportunity due to injury. I feel a lot of people are sleeping on Gut’s potential, but I also feel the third round is fair for now. If the draft were held tomorrow, I’m not convinced Gut would be taken in the top 100, but I think he could prove to be a steal outside the top 75.

7) Adam Raska (LW, Czech Republic, Rimouski QMJHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 63

JANUARY RANKING: 84

VARIATION: -21

ANALYSIS: Raska is much the same as Gut and I have had them grouped together thus far. Raska also plays bigger and with a fair bit of bite, projecting as more of a middle-six role player than an offensive contributor. He can score, but that isn’t his calling card. He’ll get drafted for his tenacity, much like fellow Czech prospect Matej Pekar — a fourth-rounder for Buffalo in 2018 (94th overall). That is a decent comparable and Raska might wind up in that range. Worth noting, Raska is almost a full year older than Gut (Sept. 25, 2001 to Aug. 16, 2002 birthdates), so Gut may have more untapped upside between the two. Raska did represent the host Czechs at the World Juniors and many onlookers were impressed with his effort, according to his agent, despite not recording any stats over five games in that tournament.

8) Kasper Puutio (RD, Finland, Everett WHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 81

JANUARY RANKING: 95

VARIATION: -14

ANALYSIS: Puutio was stuck on a poor team in Swift Current, which has negatively impacted his draft stock. On the positive side, he got plenty of opportunity and prime deployment there, but he didn’t have much to work with in terms of talented teammates. I’m excited to see how Puutio will produce in a better situation with a more skilled supporting cast in Everett following that trade-deadline move. I like his skating, passing and puckhandling abilities, which make him a promising prospect. He doesn’t have the best shot and his defensive awareness leaves a bit to be desired. His decision-making isn’t great at times and he needs to add strength, but he does a lot of things well and can skate the puck out of trouble. There is enough upside to be draft worthy, but Puutio probably wouldn’t go in the top three rounds as of today. I have bumped him down accordingly, landing at the top of the fourth round — just below fellow Finnish defence import Christoffer Sedoff (No. 94).

Kasper Puutio Swift Current Broncos
Kasper Puutio, left, formerly of the Swift Current Broncos, defends against Ilijah Colina of the Prince George Cougars during WHL action. (Brett Cullen/Prince George Cougars)

9) Theo Rochette (LC, Canada/Switzerland, Quebec QMJHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 77

JANUARY RANKING: 104

VARIATION: -27

ANALYSIS: Rochette is looking like this year’s Xavier Parent, who went from potential first-rounder to undrafted in 2019. They have a fair bit in common, including representing Canada at the Hlinka. Rochette hasn’t fallen that far yet, but he is struggling and required a change of scenery. That trade hasn’t been able to spark him and he is enduring a sophomore slump of sorts in the Q. Rochette has the skills to turn it up at any time and start rising again, but he is a faller for now. Rochette has chosen to represent Canada internationally, but he may have benefitted from a WJC showcase with Switzerland in hindsight. Hopefully he won’t fall off the map entirely in the second half.

Theo Rochette Quebec Remparts
Theo Rochette of the QMJHL’s Quebec Remparts. (Jonathan Roy)

10) Ryder Rolston (RW, USA, Waterloo USHL)

Ryder Rolston Waterloo Blackhawks
Ryder Rolston of the USHL’s Waterloo Blackhawks. (Hickling Images)

DECEMBER RANKING: 76

JANUARY RANKING: 109

VARIATION: -33

ANALYSIS: Rolston is a faller following the World Junior A Challenge, having been outshone by many of his American teammates in that tournament. He only managed two assists over six games there, while fellow draft-eligibles Brendan Brisson (12 points) and Sean Farrell (eight points) both scored five goals as standouts. To the eye, Rolston looked a step behind and wasn’t able to elevate his game at that level despite producing at a point-per-game pace in the USHL this season. Rolston’s production was also impressive for the U.S. National Team Development Program last season, which had him ranked in the top 50 to start his draft year (No. 48 in my preseason rankings). The bloodlines helped get his name up there and out there too — his dad Brian is a former NHL forward — but Rolston will need a strong second half to overcome that mediocre showing at the WJAC. There is still a good chance that Rolston will crack the top 100, but the top 50 is looking like a long-shot now.

Honourable Mentions

NOTE: Here are 15 more double-digit fallers from within my top four rounds.

Leo Loof (LD, Sweden, Farjestad J20)

DECEMBER RANKING: 83

JANUARY RANKING: 97

VARIATION: -14

Landon Slaggert (RW/LC, USA, NTDP U18)

DECEMBER RANKING: 90

JANUARY RANKING: 111

VARIATION: -21

Blake Biondi (RC, USA, Hermantown U.S. High School)

DECEMBER RANKING: 108

JANUARY RANKING: 119

VARIATION: -11

Ben Schoen (RC/RW, USA, Youngstown USHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 91

JANUARY RANKING: 121

VARIATION: -30

Alex Gaffney (LC, USA, Muskegon USHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 112

JANUARY RANKING: 122

VARIATION: -10

Alex Laferriere (RW, USA, Des Moines USHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 92

JANUARY RANKING: 123

VARIATION: -31

Ethan Bowen (LC, Canada, Chilliwack BCHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 93

JANUARY RANKING: 139

VARIATION: -46

Evan Vierling (LC, Canada, Barrie OHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 106

JANUARY RANKING: 132

VARIATION: -26

Donovan Sebrango (LD, Canada, Kitchener OHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 107

JANUARY RANKING: 129

VARIATION: -22

Brock Faber (RD, USA, NTDP U18)

DECEMBER RANKING: 109

JANUARY RANKING: 128

VARIATION: -19

Noah Ellis (RD, USA, Des Moines USHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 110

JANUARY RANKING: 125

VARIATION: -15

Kyle Crnkovic (LW, Canada, Saskatoon WHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 119

JANUARY RANKING: 138

VARIATION: -19

Dylan Garand (G, Canada, Kamloops WHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 120

JANUARY RANKING: 135

VARIATION: -15

Aidan Campbell (G, USA/Canada, Erie OHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 122

JANUARY RANKING: 133

VARIATION: -11

Antoine Coulombe (G, Canada, Shawinigan QMJHL)

DECEMBER RANKING: 123

JANUARY RANKING: 150

VARIATION: -27