With a new CBA looking more and more like a pipe dream, one wonders if the owners (who want the players to take less in order off-set costs) or the players (who want the top revenue earning teams to share with the bottom feeders) will win the battle?
In each case the solutions offered by the owners and players fails to address the real problem, which is the fact that roughly two thirds of the NHL clubs do not generate enough revenue to be profitable.
Poor market choices, sagging fan interest and a global recession have taken their toll in many NHL cities, leaving a number of owners in the red season after season.
The NHL grew it’s revenues from an estimated $2.2 billion to $3.3 billion since the last CBA was put into place. On the surface those numbers look great, but when you consider the Toronto Maple Leafs, New York Rangers, Montreal Canadians, Chicago Blackhawks, Detroit Red Wings, Philadelphia Flyers, Boston Bruins and Vancouver Canucks account for a good chunk of those additional revenues, there isn’t much left for the bottom feeders of the league.
The fact is, most NHL owners cannot afford to share their revenues because they are operating in the red. Are nine franchises supposed to support the other 21? How ridiculous would that be? And how close are some of those money making franchises to losing money themselves?
Clearly, while total revenues are up, the majority of NHL franchises are losing millions of dollars, which goes against every business principle out there. Simply put, owners invest in businesses to make money, not to subsidize their competition.
Under the current business model the NHL is a league full of “haves” and “have-nots”, with very little in between.
Even if the NHL finds new homes for some of the struggling NHL clubs there are not enough emerging markets to fix the problem. Seattle, Quebec City and Toronto have been mentioned as future homes for NHL franchises, but with as many as 20 teams struggling to make a profit how in the world will the NHL ever be a viable/profitable league?
As it stands right now the upper teams are said to be kicking in about seven percent of their profits to the leagues lesser lights. While revenue sharing helps a number of teams, it hardly makes a dent on their losses, which means unless the NHLPA and NHL can come to a well thought out solution many teams will continue to lose money.
Besides, how willing do you think the Maple Leafs, Rangers, Canucks, Canadiens, and Blackhawks, etc. will be to continue to pass along their hard earned money/profits? And why should they have to? Would MacDonald’s ever be willing to subsidize Wendy’s? Should Walmart be expected to fork over millions of dollars in order to keep Target in business? It just doesn’t make sense, and neither does revenue sharing for the NHL.
Revenue sharing does little but mask the problems that many NHL teams are having.
Attendance is down in many arenas. Where the arenas are full many franchises are offering crazy promotions in order to get warm bodies into their rinks. For example, the Columbus Blue Jackets are offering a ticket package to fans that includes any six games— including the season opener, two premium games and three additional regular season games— for as low as $99 per Flex Pack! Plus, if you buy now you will receive a FREE $10 gas card from Marathon Petroleum with each Flex Pack purchased. How is that even profitable? And how can we take the Blue Jackets attendance figures seriously when they are practically giving away seats?
Clearly, the Blue Jackets are manipulating their attendance numbers, which only perpetuates the bigger problem that hockey will never work in a city like Columbus, not profitably anyways.
The problem is, even if the NHLPA got it’s way and had additional revenue sharing, this is not a long term solution. The only long term solution is locating NHL teams to viable/profitable markets, of which there seems to be very few.
Of course, icing a winning team always goes a long way in attracting the fans, but with so many teams losing their star players to free agency how will these bottom feeding franchises ever win?
Parity has been a good thing for the NHL in terms of keeping the teams in the playoff picture for much of the season, but it also creates a market where star players not only bring in a ton of loot, they are also starting to dictate where they play, just like in the NBA.
Few NHL stars want to play in non-traditional markets, fewer still want to play in a city that cannot afford to attract top talent. Players want to be paid at a premium and have a shot at a Stanley Cup— they want their cake and they want to eat it too!
While not a popular view, contraction seems like the NHL’s best option, but you can be sure the NHLPA will fight hard to avoid something as radical as contraction as the players would lose a tremendous number of jobs.
How long must we endure the Phoenix fiasco? How long must we be forced to watch the New York Islanders wither away from being a once proud franchise to the laughingstock of the NHL? And how many other NHL teams are teetering on bankruptcy that we do not know about?
The Florida Panthers, Columbus Blue Jackets, Tampa Bay Lightning, Dallas Stars, Phoenix Coyotes, Nashville Predators and Carolina Hurricanes are all said to be losing boatloads of money— that represents nearly one third of the league!
Monday night news surfaced that Edmonton Oilers owner Darryl Katz is kicking the tires on moving his team to Seattle because he cannot get the support he needs to build a new arena. How bad are things in Edmonton— a franchise that is sold out more nights than not and has one of the most exciting group of young players assembled since the days of Wayne Gretzky, Paul Coffey, Jari Kurri, Grant Fuhr, Kevin Lowe, Mark Messier, Glen Anderson and the rest of the great Oilers’ teams from the mid-1980′s!
Folding one or two teams wouldn’t work. In order for the NHL to make any financial headway they would have to consider contracting at least a half a dozen teams, which would eliminate about 150 NHL players’ jobs, not to mention all the executives that would be looking for work.
Imagine the rosters NHL teams could ice if the NHL contracted six teams? No longer would we be forced to watch a watered down league. No longer would we have to be subjected to news clip after news clip of another NHL team crying poor. No longer would you need a degree in business in order to follow the lead stories about your favorite club.
Because the NHL is so top-heavy in revenue contraction would not hurt league revenues, at least not as much as we may think. With the revenue pie still intact, most of the remaining NHL clubs could ice excellent teams while continuing to award the players with excellent contracts.
In any other business if you are losing money you either relocate or shut your doors. In the case of the NHL the owners are all but forced to lose money with little or no way out.
While Toronto, Montreal, Vancouver, Chicago and the New York Rangers have little issue filling their rinks, most NHL clubs are practically begging their fans to come out to games, which means we will probably see more clubs offering up ridiculously priced Flex Packs to their fans before long.
Sure, the owners could always file for bankruptcy, but that’s hardly a solution. Neither is selling games on the cheap— why devalue your product to the point that you are losing money in order to sell it? When will the NHL finally admit that, despite record revenues, the league on the whole is a financial failure? When will the owners finally say “enough is enough, I’m tired of losing millions of dollars” and toss the keys to the rink back to Gary Bettman? And how will Bettman ever convince anyone to take over those failing franchises?
Is revenue sharing the answer? Simply put, no! Perhaps contraction is?
The Ken Dryden article seem to indicate that this isn’t a lockout of economic necessity so there’s plenty conflicting opinions as far as that goes. And he of all people would have plenty of knowledge in regards to how a front office operates.
If you go by the Forbes valuations then yeah, 18 teams are losing money. But until the owners actually release the books there’s really no reason to just believe everything they say on that front. The Senators owner probably isn’t losing money, even if Forbes says he is. Things like parking, food and revenue from non-hockey related events likely isn’t included in those calculations. Of course, if he doesn’t own the Senators then owning that rink also wouldn’t be profitable. And yes I get that there are other costs associated with running a team but there are generally other sources of revenue that the owners aren’t including, especially if they own the rink or if another team plays in that same arena and they split the revenue. And if the city is paying for the arena it’s hard to say who gets what share of the revenue, even though the owner might put down the full cost of arena depreciation in their books. Also keep in mind that in a lot of cases (in the US at least), having a hockey team that is “losing money” means you get a tax write-off (a big tax write off, 10s of millions of dollars). It really isn’t that hard to make it look like a business venture is losing money when it really isn’t via accounting.
That McDonalds comparison doesn’t work because Wendy’s not making money isn’t going to result in a lockout. If it did (as is the case in hockey), then it might actually make sense for McDonalds to share more revenue because then they could still make significant profits rather than nothing at all. Which is going to be the case this year unless they figure something out. You’re right 7% isn’t enough. I don’t know what the magic number is there but I’m sure they can do better on that front.
You mention that teams have been losing money for a decade. For the most part those teams are horribly mismanaging their money as far as signing players and as a result are uncompetitive. The Islanders, Yotes, Columbus, the Wild, Panthers all fall into that category. And if they’ve been losing so much money, why are owners willing to purchase them? If I had to guess it’s not as bad as some of them are making it out to be. As for TB/Dallas, TB had a net operating income of -8 million, Dallas -1. TB has seen a significant increase in season ticket holders and Dallas has only had a negative operating income once since 2004. In other words Dallas is doing fine and TB seems to be improving.
And the Oilers, they’re not going anywhere, I’m willing to put money on that. The city will cave and then act like they won. Even Bettman isn’t dumb enough to let that team go anywhere, and that’s saying a lot.
Well said
“Would MacDonald’s ever be willing to subsidize Wendy’s?”
This is a terrible comparison. If your view is that the lesser revenue teams are forcing the lockout then the higher revenue teams aren’t making money as a result of this lockout and probably aren’t too happy about that. Their choice then is to share more of that to avoid a lockout or not make any money at all.
As for some of the other points, yes some of these teams are “losing money” but it’s hard to say how they calculate some of these things. If they include depreciation of the arena as a loss but don’t include the revenue made due to owning the arena and making money from the non hockey related events (Cirque du Soleis, Sesame Street on ice), parking, food purchases etc., then it might look like they are losing money when they really aren’t. I don’t know how many owners actually own their arena but those that do are likely doing better than they claim.
“The Florida Panthers, Columbus Blue Jackets, Tampa Bay Lightning, Dallas Stars, Phoenix Coyotes, Nashville Predators and Carolina Hurricanes are all said to be losing boatloads of money— that represents nearly one third of the league!”
Dallas isn’t losing boatloads of money, they’re almost in the top 10 as far as revenue. Them and Tampa have had significant hockey growth in their respective areas. For the most part, the other teams perpetually suck. There aren’t many teams in professional sports that have terrible front offices and have high attendance figures. And Phoenix might have its share of issues but if an owner is willing to keep the team there for 20 years, how bad can it possibly be? And they’re the worst case scenario.
And the Oilers aren’t going anywhere, that’s just posturing.
HI KRIS—
It is really hard to find any significant stats on team profitability. That said, I read a ton of articles from well respected hockey writers, all of which are signing a similar tune that nearly 2/3 of the NHL teams are operating in or close to the red.
T-Bay has stable ownership, as do the Dallas Stars, but that does not mean they are profitable. You have to take into consideration that NHL teams are responsible for far more than just the NHL players salaries. Their profits are drained by staff, management, minor league teams, etc.
I read an article recently that suggested the over/under for team profitability is around $120 million— how many teams are bringing that kind of dough in when teams like Columbus are practically giving seats away?
Also, the current revenue sharing sees around 7% of the upper teams profits going to the bottom feeders. When you do the math, that is just a drop in the bucket, hardly enough to take a team from operating in the red to profitability.
I too believe Katz’s visit to Seattle was just posturing, but if the arena deal doesn’t go through he may chose to sell the Oilers, which will leave the NHL without one of the better owners in hockey.
My use of the MacDonald’s/Wendy’s example is very valid. They are in the same industry, they compete with each other and, as such, they are not and should not be responsible for subsidizing each other.
The point is, how long do the top teams have to share their hard earned revenue? I mean, if your team isn’t profitable, why shouldn’t you have the option of folding or moving? And if your team is not profitable for a decade, why the hell would you be willing to continue to lose money? It’s an act of stupidity!
Thanks for the comment!