If you are looking for the 2010 Entry Draft Guide please click here.
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Christopher Ralph is a hockey writer with a focus on prospects and the entry draft, as well as the Leafs’ correspondent here at THW.
Notes Up Front:
- My draft rankings at this point are based on my opinion of the BPA (Best Player Available). This is not an attempt at predicting who I think will be drafted at a certain position. I will be posting a 2 round mock draft in the near future.
- Check back to this article often. A series of prospect profiles will be released daily (approximately 5 per day), leading up to the June 26th and 27th NHL entry draft, in the order I have them ranked. The rankings will be updated below simultaneously as the prospect profiles are released, with links to the respective profile. I will be releasing detailed profiles on the Top 60 players for the draft.
- Stay tuned, as well, as I post overall rankings for the Top 100 draft-eligible prospects. I also plan an article highlighting some key sleepers, who might prove to be the diamonds in the rough in this year’s draft.
- I am not a big fan of drafting a goalie in the first round unless the talent and potential are simply undeniable. Last year, for instance, given the astronomical odds of actually being a NHL GM, I would have considered selecting Jacob Markstrom and Chet Pitkard in the first round. This year, I would not select a netminder at all in the first round.
- “One-Timer” heading is meant to be a quick and concise synopsis of each prospect.
- “NHL Player Comparisons” are simply to give the reader a feel for the player’s style and ultimately likely equal the player’s ceiling potential being reached. It is often an exercise in futility, but does offer up some value. If I add the suffix “-lite” or “Jr.” after a NHL player comparison, it simply refers to the fact the prospect likely has no chance to reach that high a potential, but rather resembles or plays a style reminiscent of the respective NHLer.
- “Scouting Combine Performance”: Many thanks to a friend of mine, Eug Sorokin who attended this year’s combine and was my inside agent. He is the main reason for adding this portion of the draft rankings and many of the player notes are taken from the information he reported to me. Other notes are courtesy of TSN staff, THN’s Ryan Kennedy and Gare Joyce’s article from Sportsnet, and are cited when used.
- “Risk/Reward Analysis”: Both “Risk” and “Reward” rated out of “5”. For the risk rating, the higher the rating out of five, the higher the risk of the prospect not turning out as projected. For the reward rating, also out of five, the higher the rating, the higher the potential the prospect has. For the latter, of course, the prospect has to still reach that potential.
- “Fantasy Hockey Potential”: Offensive and defensive ratings out of 10 are given for forwards and defenseman based on perceived potential in each area. Offensive potential is obviously the key factor in most fantasy hockey leagues, but defensive potential should prove useful for those armchair hockey simulator GMs.
- Legend:
ETA = Estimated Time of Arrival to NHL
ISS = International Scouting Services (These are taken from their May Top 30 rankings or THN’s quoted ISS ranking, where available.)
CSB = Central Scouting Bureau (NA = North America , E = Europe, G = Goalie)
TSN = Bob McKenzie’s mid-season rankings (I will try and update once his final rankings are available, apparently Jun 22nd.)
THN = The Hockey News Draft Rankings
The Hockey Spy’s Rankings:
Round 1:
{Click on Prospect’s Name for link to “Full Potential” Profile}
1. John Tavares
3. Matt Duchene
5. Evander Kane
8. Ryan Ellis
10. Dmitri Kulikov
11. Jared Cowen
12. Nazem Kadri
13. David Rundblad
14. John Moore
15. Carter Ashton
16. Dylan Olsen
17. Scott Glennie
18. Jeremy Morin
19. Kyle Palmieri
20. Jacob Josefson
21. Calvin de Haan
23. Louis Leblanc
24. Peter Holland
25. Chris Kreider
26. Nick Leddy
27. Zack Kassian
28. Landon Ferraro
29. Toni Rajala
Round 2:
31. Tim Erixon
32. Drew Shore
33. Simon Despres
34. Jordan Caron
35. Tomas Tatar
36. Carl Klingberg
37. Stefan Elliot
38. Richard Panik
39. Ryan O’Reilly
40. Zach Budish
41. Olivier Roy
42. Joonas Nattinan
43. Dmitri Orlov
44. Matt Clark
45. Tyson Barrie
46. Matt Hackett
47. Eric Gelinas
48. Marcus Johansson
49. Philippe Paradis
50. Jerry D’Amigo
51. Sami Vatanen
52. Cody Eakin
53. Taylor Doherty
54. Robin Lehner
55. Kenny Ryan
56. Mikko Koskinen
57. William Wrenn
58. Alex Hutchings
59. Chris Brown
60. Ben Hanowski
The Hockey Spy’s Two Round Mock Draft: {Note: There are differences between the mock draft and the above rankings.}
Round 1
This document is the intellectual property of Christopher Ralph and cannot be used or duplicated in anyway without expressed written consent. Any use of this document without the expressed written consent of Christopher Ralph will result in public exposure and legal prosecution.
Coach Ron: Thanks for the appreciation!
Mike J: Lee is definitely intriguing, although this is his 2nd yr of eligibility. Also, will he choose hockey or football?
Francois Labrie: Igor Bobkov is definitely a sleeper/darkhorse. Hopefully, stay tuned for another pre-draft post for more info. I could see teams even considering him in the 2nd round! The Russian factor was the only reason he slipped out of my Top 60.
what do you think of Igor Bobkov . is he the next Simeon Varlamov ?
Anders Lee not top 200? Without question the most under-rated player in the draft. More skilled and nearly the same size as Budish with the numbers to back-up. Recently dominated Green Bay Gambler Camp as leading scorer. Headed to ND in 2010
THAT you! Glad I am not writing this!
Hey Chris
Nice job! Great insight and congrats man! i knew this you would be great hockey writer and info you had should be shared .
Keep up the good work!
Great observation Chris.
I initially had him on my short list. It was a simple numbers game for me and other guys I liked better pushed him out of the Top 60.
Pasquale and Brayden McNabb were tough to leave off the Top 60.
I hope to get an “honorable mention” and “darkhorses” post up as well and they will receive mention there.
Wow. No Pasquale? He started off as the number one NA goalie but fell to number three on the CS rankings. Apparently he had an absolutely incredible combine and worked his way back toward Roy. Guess we will have to see. Flyers GM Paul Holmgren did mention that he didn’t feel there was any true 1st class talent this year at the goaltending position because of the insane depth at forward and defense.
Thanks Eug!
Stay tuned…2nd rnd prospect coverage should start tomorrow!
one of the best, in depth rankings iv yet to read on the draft. great job Chris! keep it up
Thanks Rafal! More profiles coming later today. It definitely gets more interesting the further in the rankings you go!
This post made it up on Puck Daddy today Chris, congrats. I’m loving the analysis of each prospect so far. I’m particularly interested in seeing who the diamonds in the rough could be.